BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
James Madison 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
James Madison 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.40 |
30.27 (-4.13) |
34.91 |
31.72 (-3.19) |
31.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
451.50 |
419.60 (-31.90) |
430.00 |
427.10 (-2.90) |
427.10 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.02 |
5.60 (-0.42) |
6.39 |
6.25 (-0.14) |
6.25 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.30 |
25.96 (+3.66) |
19.91 |
22.12 (+2.21) |
22.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
298.00 |
300.36 (+2.36) |
336.27 |
342.83 (+6.56) |
342.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.69 |
4.87 (+0.18) |
5.10 |
5.27 (+0.17) |
5.27 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Bucknell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-3 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Virginia |
35.90 |
25.41 |
-10.49 |
61.31 |
66.83% |
W 36-35 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Troy |
20.36 |
22.35 |
+2.00 |
42.71 |
46.80% |
W 16-14 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Utah State |
46.31 |
27.39 |
-18.92 |
73.71 |
80.35% |
W 45-38 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
South Alabama |
32.68 |
21.86 |
-10.82 |
54.54 |
67.35% |
W 31-23 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Georgia Southern |
45.83 |
21.62 |
-24.21 |
67.45 |
88.83% |
W 41-13 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-19 |
@Marshall |
36.82 |
19.11 |
-17.71 |
55.93 |
78.41% |
W 20-9 |
7-0 |
| 2023-10-29 |
Old Dominion |
36.02 |
15.53 |
-20.49 |
51.56 |
82.87% |
W 30-27 |
8-0 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Georgia State |
37.21 |
19.09 |
-18.11 |
56.30 |
79.05% |
W 42-14 |
9-0 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Connecticut |
41.36 |
9.62 |
-31.74 |
50.99 |
99.90% |
W 44-6 |
10-0 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Appalachian State |
41.24 |
26.76 |
-14.48 |
68.00 |
73.23% |
L 23-26 |
10-1 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Coastal Carolina |
34.25 |
19.11 |
-15.14 |
53.36 |
74.29% |
W 56-14 |
11-1 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-23 |
@Air Force |
27.84 |
21.74 |
-6.10 |
49.58 |
59.79% |
L 21-31 |
11-2 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-2 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 4-9 |
0.02% |
| 5-8 |
0.17% |
| 6-7 |
0.90% |
| 7-6 |
3.68% |
| 8-5 |
10.45% |
| 9-4 |
20.25% |
| 10-3 |
27.23% |
| 11-2 |
23.34% |
| 12-1 |
11.40% |
| 13-0 |
2.57% |